L’École des cotes

Seattle Kraken v Florida Panthers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prévision 46.66%2.14cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.961%
Kelly -1.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.45%46.63%46.75%47.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.042.052.1053.19%49.00%48.78%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Florida Panthers (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.34%1.87cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.712%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.22%53.37%53.25%54.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.791.801.8560.61%55.86%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 23:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 00:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 16:15
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 16:15
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.95%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-15 23:55
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:55
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 22:04
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 22:15
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 16:50
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 16:50
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 23:19
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 23:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 00:05
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:10
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:25
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 16:49
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 18:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 18:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 00:04
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 00:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.32%E -0.712%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-16 00:05
ReBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:20
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 22:20
NordicBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.22%E -3.09%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:50
Betsson2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.22%E -3.09%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 22:15
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 22:20
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 23:09
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 23:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 12:20
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 22:20
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -7.15%E -3.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -2.92%E -1.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 22:20
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.28%E -6.53%K -13.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -11.99%E -7.26%K -18.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 22:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%-0.1%2026-03-15 23:45
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%0.2%2026-03-16 00:05
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-16 00:05
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-15 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-16 00:05
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-16 00:05
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-03-16 00:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-03-16 00:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-15 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-15 16:59
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-15 17:00
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%3.8%2026-03-16 00:05
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.64%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.35%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%4.7%2026-03-15 23:45
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.74%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.04%4.8%2026-03-15 23:55
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-15 23:20
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%5.7%2026-03-15 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%5.7%2026-03-15 16:50
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%5.7%2026-03-15 16:50
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%5.7%2026-03-15 16:50
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-03-15 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%6.5%2026-03-15 22:25
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-03-15 17:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-03-16 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-15 23:50
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%8.7%2026-03-15 23:20
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-16 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%10.1%2026-03-16 00:05
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%10.1%2026-03-16 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 35.71%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-03-15 23:50