The School of Odds
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Seattle Kraken v Chicago Blackhawks

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prediction 60.78%1.65fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.28%60.80%60.76%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.571.581.6168.97%63.53%63.49%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Blackhawks (Visit)

Prediction 39.22%2.55fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.765%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.20%39.24%40.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.452.5244.44%41.16%40.82%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Kraken (Local): 60.78%; Chicago Blackhawks (Visit): 39.22%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.52, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.15%E -1.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -5.09%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 01:19
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.15%E -1.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 20:00
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.15%E -1.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -6.26%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 01:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -2.75%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -2.75%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 01:49
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.75%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.75%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 18:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -2.75%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -7.44%E -3.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 01:50
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -1.56%E -0.620%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 00:10
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.95%E -0.779%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 08:59
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 01:49
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 03:54
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -5.09%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 19:34
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 15:14
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 17:54
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.79%E -4.26%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.79%E -4.26%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 20:00
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -1.56%E -0.620%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 02:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 12:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 22:14
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 22:10
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.48%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 02:04
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.48%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 02:04
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -1.16%E -0.462%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.95%E -0.779%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:35
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.69%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 02:02
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 19:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 03:40
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:04
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:03
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.95%E -0.779%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 02:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -11.87%E -8.19%K -26.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 01:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-05 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-05 02:00
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-05 01:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-04 00:35
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-05 01:39
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-04-05 02:04
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-04-05 02:05
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-04-05 01:34
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%1.9%2026-04-05 00:24

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%3.4%2026-04-04 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%3.4%2026-04-04 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%3.4%2026-04-04 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%3.4%2026-04-04 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%4.1%2026-04-05 02:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.6%2026-04-05 01:59
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.6%2026-04-04 23:59
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.79%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.15%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.06%4.6%2026-04-05 01:55
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%5.1%2026-04-04 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%5.1%2026-04-04 22:09
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%5.1%2026-04-04 22:09
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%5.1%2026-04-04 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%6.6%2026-04-04 22:34
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%6.7%2026-04-04 22:09
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%6.9%2026-04-05 02:04
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%7.2%2026-04-04 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%7.9%2026-04-05 01:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%8.2%2026-04-05 02:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%8.8%2026-04-05 02:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%9.3%2026-04-05 01:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.99%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%10.1%2026-04-05 01:48
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%12.2%2026-04-04 22:09