La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Seattle Kraken v Chicago Blackhawks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Kraken (Local)
Predicción 60.78%1.65momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -3.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.28%60.80%60.76%62.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.571.581.6168.97%63.53%63.49%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante)
Predicción 39.22%2.55momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.462%
Kelly -0.765%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.20%39.24%40.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.432.452.5244.44%41.16%40.82%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.15%E -1.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -5.09%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 01:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.15%E -1.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| ReBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.15%E -1.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -6.26%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -2.75%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -2.75%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.75%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.75%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -2.75%E -1.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -7.44%E -3.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -1.56%E -0.620%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-05 00:10 |
| Everygame | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.95%E -0.779%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 08:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 03:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -5.09%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 23:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.36%E -2.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 19:34 |
| Bovada | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 00:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 15:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:54 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.79%E -4.26%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.79%E -4.26%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -1.56%E -0.620%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 12:48 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:14 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 01:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.48%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.48%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -1.16%E -0.462%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.95%E -0.779%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.69%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 02:02 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 19:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 03:40 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.87%E -2.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 02:03 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.95%E -0.779%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -11.87%E -8.19%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 01:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 00:35 |
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 01:39 |
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 01:34 |
| BetOpenly | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 00:24 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.79% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.15% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.06% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:55 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 22:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.67% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.99% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 01:48 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |