Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Kraken v Carolina Hurricanes

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 03:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prediction 37.85%2.64fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.613%
Kelly -0.997%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.76%37.86%37.75%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.512.522.6043.10%39.84%39.68%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)

Prediction 62.15%1.61fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%62.14%62.25%63.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.541.541.5770.42%64.95%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Kraken (Local): 37.85%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 62.15%. For Seattle Kraken (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.59%E -0.613%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-03 01:50
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.59%E -0.613%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-03 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.35%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-03 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.35%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-03 01:50
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.35%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-03 02:50
Bovada🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.35%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 02:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -2.35%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 06:24
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-02 21:15
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 23:40
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 23:40
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 14:10
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 23:40
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 22:45
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 17:04
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.15%E -4.07%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 00:40
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 13:03
Caesars🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.62%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 02:47
Bet Right🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -4.62%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 02:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.62%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 02:50
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 01:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 01:50
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 08:48
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 16:59
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 16:59
SportsBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.14%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 01:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 16:19
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:50
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:50
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-02 14:45
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 16:59
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 02:48
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 01:50
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.42%E -1.54%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 14:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -12.19%E -5.26%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -11.74%E -8.27%K -27.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-02 23:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.69I 37.17%NM 37.15%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.85%0.1%2026-03-03 02:50
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-03-03 01:50
ProphetX2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-03-03 01:50
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-03-03 00:40
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-03-03 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-03-03 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-03-03 00:45
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-03-03 01:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-03 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-03 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-03 01:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-03 01:50
1xBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 28.04%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.50%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.46%3.1%2026-03-03 02:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%4.2%2026-03-02 23:40
Coolbet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-03-03 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-03-03 02:50
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-03 01:50
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-03 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-03 01:50
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-03 02:10
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.4%2026-03-02 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%6.7%2026-03-02 11:04
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%7.6%2026-03-02 22:45
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%7.9%2026-03-02 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.9%2026-03-02 23:37
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-03-02 23:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-03-03 02:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%9.5%2026-03-02 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%10.2%2026-03-02 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%10.7%2026-03-02 23:40