L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.60
avec la cote maximale 1.57
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.59%E -0.613%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.59%E -0.613%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.35%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.35%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.35%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-03 02:50 |
| Bovada | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.35%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 02:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -2.35%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-02 06:24 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-02 21:15 |
| Bally Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| GTbets | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 18:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 17:04 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.15%E -4.07%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 00:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 13:03 |
| Caesars | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.62%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 02:47 |
| Bet Right | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -4.62%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 02:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.62%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 02:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-02 08:48 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-02 16:59 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-02 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.14%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 02:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 02:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 14:45 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 16:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 02:48 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.42%E -1.54%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-02 14:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -12.19%E -5.26%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -11.74%E -8.27%K -27.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-02 23:38 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.69I 37.17%NM 37.15% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.85% | 0.1% | 2026-03-03 02:50 |
| Novig | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| ProphetX | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 00:40 |
| Polymarket | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 00:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 1.4% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.04% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.50% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.46% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 02:50 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37% | 6.4% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 11:04 |
| LeoVegas | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67% | 7.6% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.9% | 2026-03-02 23:37 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 02:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.17% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74% | 9.5% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68% | 10.2% | 2026-03-02 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58% | 10.7% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |