La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -2.54%E -1.40%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -2.62%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 23:06 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -2.62%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -2.62%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| ReBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:57 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Everygame | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:06 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:01 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -12.23%E -7.50%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -12.31%E -6.48%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 37.27% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 62.73% | 57.8% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.32% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:06 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.49% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.28% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.43% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.13% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 23:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 22:58 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |