La scuola delle quote

Seattle Kraken v Calgary Flames

Inizio: 2026-04-11 23:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Seattle Kraken (Casa)

Previsione 53.85%1.86quota equa
EV -2.54%
Vantaggio -1.40%
Kelly -3.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.88%53.78%53.83%54.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.771.771.8161.35%56.43%56.50%55.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Calgary Flames (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.15%2.17quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -2.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%46.22%46.17%47.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.062.052.1152.63%48.53%48.66%47.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -2.54%E -1.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -2.62%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 23:06
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:10
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:07
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:07
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:10
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:10
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -2.62%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 23:09
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -2.62%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 23:10
ReBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 22:59
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 23:09
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:57
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:09
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:09
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:06
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:05
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:07
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:07
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:07
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 23:10
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 23:10
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 23:10
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:01
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 23:10
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -12.23%E -7.50%K -19.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -12.31%E -6.48%K -13.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-04-11 23:10
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-04-11 23:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%3.7%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%4.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%5.8%2026-04-11 23:10
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%10.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 37.27%1.01I 99.01%NM 62.73%57.8%2026-04-11 23:10

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-11 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-11 23:09
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-11 23:09
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-11 23:10
Coolbet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-04-11 23:06
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.49%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-04-11 22:59
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.7%2026-04-11 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%4.9%2026-04-11 23:09
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-11 23:09
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-04-11 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-04-11 23:10
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%7.6%2026-04-11 23:09
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.13%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%7.9%2026-04-11 23:08
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%8.2%2026-04-11 22:58
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%8.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%8.9%2026-04-11 23:10
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%9.2%2026-04-11 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-04-11 23:10
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%12.2%2026-04-11 23:10