L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.81
avec la cote maximale 2.11
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -2.54%E -1.40%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -2.62%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 23:06 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -2.62%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -2.62%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| ReBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:57 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Everygame | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:06 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:01 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -12.23%E -7.50%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -12.31%E -6.48%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 37.27% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 62.73% | 57.8% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.32% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:06 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.49% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.28% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.43% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.13% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 23:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 22:58 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |