Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Seattle Kraken v Calgary Flames

Inizio: 2026-10-05 00:17 UTC

Finale: Seattle Kraken 6–1 Calgary Flames

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Seattle Kraken (Casa)

Previsione 59.44%1.68quota equa
EV -1.93%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.65%59.43%59.39%62.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.31%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Calgary Flames (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.56%2.47quota equa
EV +3.44%
Vantaggio +1.35%
Kelly +2.22%
Crescita +0.076%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.96%40.57%40.61%41.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.362.352.5546.08%42.41%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Seattle Kraken (Casa): 59.44%; Calgary Flames (Trasferta): 40.56%. Per Calgary Flames (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.47. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.55, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.44%.

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +3.44%E +1.35%K +2.22%G +0.076%3.3%2026-10-05 00:04
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.620%E -0.253%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 21:35
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.24%E -0.930%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-04 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.24%E -0.930%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-05 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.24%E -0.930%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-05 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 00:05
Paddy Power🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 00:05
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.86%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 23:40
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.93%E -1.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 23:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 22:15
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 23:05
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 22:15
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 00:05
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 00:05
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.09%E -3.85%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.09%E -3.85%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 00:05
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 00:05
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.93%E -1.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -5.08%E -2.17%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 21:39
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.08%E -2.17%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 22:20
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.89%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 23:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 23:55
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-05 00:04
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 00:03
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 00:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.35%EV -11.98%E -5.52%K -10.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-04 23:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86%2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14%0.0%2026-10-04 23:59
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-10-05 00:05
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-04 23:45
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-10-05 00:05
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-10-05 00:05
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%2.7%2026-10-05 00:05
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%3.4%2026-10-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%6.1%2026-10-05 00:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.6%2026-10-05 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-10-05 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-10-05 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-10-05 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.19%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-10-04 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-10-05 00:05
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-10-05 00:00
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.21%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.66%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.13%4.9%2026-10-04 23:54
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%5.6%2026-10-05 00:05
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%5.6%2026-10-05 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%5.6%2026-10-05 00:05
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%5.6%2026-10-05 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-10-04 23:55
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-10-04 22:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%7.1%2026-10-05 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%8.7%2026-10-05 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.04%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%9.1%2026-10-04 23:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.94%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%12.1%2026-10-05 00:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%12.2%2026-10-04 22:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%13.8%2026-10-05 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.49%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%16.3%2026-10-04 23:55