Langue:Français
Seattle Kraken v Calgary Flames
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Seattle Kraken (Local)
Prévision 59.44%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.65%59.43%59.39%62.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.31%62.11%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Calgary Flames (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.56%2.47cote équitable
EV +3.44%
Avantage +1.35%
Kelly +2.22%
Croissance +0.076%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.96%40.57%40.61%41.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.172.362.352.5546.08%42.41%42.55%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Seattle Kraken (Local) : 59.44% ; Calgary Flames (Visiteur) : 40.56%. Pour Calgary Flames (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.47. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.55, soit une espérance positive de +3.44%.
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +3.44%E +1.35%K +2.22%G +0.076% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 00:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.620%E -0.253%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-04 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.24%E -0.930%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-04 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.24%E -0.930%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.24%E -0.930%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.86%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 23:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 23:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.93%E -1.17%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 23:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 22:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.09%E -3.85%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.09%E -3.85%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.93%E -1.17%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -5.08%E -2.17%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.08%E -2.17%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.89%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 23:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 00:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 00:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.35%EV -11.98%E -5.52%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-04 23:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14% | 0.0% | 2026-10-04 23:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 23:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 2.7% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95% | 3.4% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.6% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.19% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.21% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.66% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.13% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 23:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.43% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.04% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 23:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.94% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30% | 12.1% | 2026-10-05 00:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86% | 12.2% | 2026-10-04 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43% | 13.8% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.49% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24% | 16.3% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |