Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 1.86
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Sharks (Local): 47.69%; Winnipeg Jets (Visit): 52.31%. For San Jose Sharks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.097. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.153%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.153%E +0.073%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.153%E +0.073%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.55%E -6.17%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +0.153%E +0.073%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 21:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.23%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.71%E -1.46%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.23%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 21:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.23%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.71%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.71%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 20:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 18:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 07:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 06:06 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 06:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.09%E -2.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.57%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.57%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.57%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.05%E -3.07%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 20:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.77%E -6.36%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.12%E -7.22%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.51% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.49% | -0.3% | 2026-03-01 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12% | 0.1% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 1.7% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.2% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.33% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.74% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.04% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 19:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 20:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.85% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 21:02 |