L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.10
avec la cote maximale 1.86
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.153%E +0.073%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.153%E +0.073%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.55%E -6.17%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +0.153%E +0.073%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 21:03 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.23%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.71%E -1.46%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.23%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 21:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.23%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.71%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.71%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 20:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 18:34 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 07:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 06:06 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 06:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 18:50 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 18:49 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.09%E -2.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
| Everygame | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.57%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 20:39 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.57%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.57%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 18:44 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.05%E -3.07%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 20:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.77%E -6.36%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.12%E -7.22%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.51% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.49% | -0.3% | 2026-03-01 20:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12% | 0.1% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Novig | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 1.7% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.2% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.33% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.74% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.04% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 20:55 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 19:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 20:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.85% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 21:02 |