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San Jose Sharks v Philadelphia Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Jose Sharks (Local)
Prediction 52.98%1.89fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.77%53.13%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.801.801.8560.61%55.40%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 47.02%2.13fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.600%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%47.23%46.88%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.022.042.1053.48%49.47%49.14%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Sharks (Local): 52.98%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 47.02%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.37%E -3.74%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.37%E -3.74%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.84%E -4.00%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.51%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.20%E -1.06%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.51%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 15:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.19%E -5.34%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.57%E -1.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.57%E -1.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.43%E -3.23%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.55%E -2.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.55%E -2.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.22%E -3.52%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.26%E -0.600%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.07%E -6.46%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77% | -0.1% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.40% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 19:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 18:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.45% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 18:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.30% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |