L’École des cotes

San Jose Sharks v Philadelphia Flyers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 20:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Jose Sharks (Local)

Prévision 52.98%1.89cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.07%52.77%53.13%54.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.801.801.8560.61%55.40%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Flyers (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.02%2.13cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.600%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.17%47.23%46.88%48.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.022.042.1053.48%49.47%49.14%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 19:59
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 19:59
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.37%E -3.74%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 13:54
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.37%E -3.74%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 13:54
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.84%E -4.00%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 13:54
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:53
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.51%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.20%E -1.06%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-21 19:50
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.51%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 19:04
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 19:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 15:09
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 17:49
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.19%E -5.34%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:01
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.57%E -1.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:45
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.57%E -1.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.43%E -3.23%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:28
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:19
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:44
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:14
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:14
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:49
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:15
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:14
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:48
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 20:05
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:14
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:50
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 17:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 17:39
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.55%E -2.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:05
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.16%E -2.88%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.55%E -2.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:05
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 20:04
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:05
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.02%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 18:14
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.22%E -3.52%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.26%E -0.600%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 18:04
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.07%E -6.46%K -13.88%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-21 17:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%-0.1%2026-03-21 19:54
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-03-21 20:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-21 20:04
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-21 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-03-21 19:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-03-21 20:00
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-03-21 20:00
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-03-21 20:00
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%3.4%2026-03-21 20:04

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 13:54
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 13:54
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 13:54
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 13:54
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%4.1%2026-03-21 18:29
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.40%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-03-21 19:59
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-03-21 19:54
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-03-21 19:44
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 19:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 19:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 19:20
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-03-21 19:19
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-03-21 18:33
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-03-21 19:20
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-03-21 20:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%8.7%2026-03-21 19:59
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.45%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-03-21 18:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%9.3%2026-03-21 19:49
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%9.9%2026-03-21 20:00
Unibet (FR)2.24I 44.64%NM 40.30%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%10.8%2026-03-21 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%14.0%2026-03-21 19:59