Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 1.67
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Sharks (Local): 40.86%; Edmonton Oilers (Visit): 59.14%. For Edmonton Oilers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -1.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-28 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 12:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 13:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 18:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 07:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:12 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.60%E -2.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.21%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.21%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.21%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.23%E -0.737%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.34%E -5.23%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.47%E -8.42%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | -0.2% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.39% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.15% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.47% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 20:42 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |