La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.00%E -1.83%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-28 20:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| BetUS | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 18:35 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 12:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 12:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 13:14 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 18:39 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 07:38 |
| Paddy Power | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:12 |
| GTbets | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 12:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.60%E -2.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:33 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.21%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.21%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.21%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.23%E -0.737%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 16:59 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 13:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.34%E -5.23%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.47%E -8.42%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | -0.2% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| ProphetX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Polymarket | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Novig | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.39% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| 1xBet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.15% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.47% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 20:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 20:42 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |