赔率学院

Pittsburgh Penguins v Washington Capitals

开赛时间: 2026-04-11 19:25 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (主队)

预测 41.74%2.40公平赔率
EV -1.50%
优势 -0.637%
Kelly -1.10%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.36

博彩公司预测分布
40.81%41.75%41.77%43.15%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.202.282.292.3645.45%43.84%43.67%42.37%MIN均值中位数MAX

Washington Capitals (客队)

预测 58.26%1.72公平赔率
EV -2.70%
优势 -1.62%
Kelly -4.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.85%58.25%58.23%59.19%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.621.651.651.6761.73%60.61%60.61%59.88%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 18 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.50%E -0.637%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 19:20
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.50%E -0.637%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 19:20
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.92%E -0.817%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 19:19
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.92%E -0.817%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 19:19
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.92%E -0.817%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 19:20
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.34%E -0.999%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 19:19
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.75%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 19:17
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 19:14
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 19:19
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 19:19
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 19:20
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 19:20
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 19:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 19:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 19:19
SportsBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.03%E -3.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 19:19
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 19:20
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 19:20
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.68%E -2.51%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 19:19
Betsson2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.68%E -2.51%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 19:20
NordicBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.68%E -2.51%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 19:19
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:08
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:15
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:20
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:20
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 19:19
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 19:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:16
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:08
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:07
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-11 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-04-11 19:20
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-04-11 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-04-11 19:20
Novig2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-04-11 19:19
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-04-11 19:20
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%3.0%2026-04-11 19:15
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%3.3%2026-04-11 19:19

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (18)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-04-11 19:19
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-04-11 19:19
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%3.8%2026-04-11 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%4.4%2026-04-11 19:17
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-04-11 19:19
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-04-11 19:20
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-04-11 19:20
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-04-11 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%6.8%2026-04-11 19:20
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%7.3%2026-04-11 19:19
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%7.8%2026-04-11 19:11
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-04-11 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-04-11 19:20
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-04-11 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%10.0%2026-04-11 19:20
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%11.5%2026-04-11 19:20
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%1.89I 52.91%NM 45.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%16.3%2026-04-11 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.63%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.61%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.75%17.9%2026-04-11 19:20