Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Pittsburgh Penguins v Washington Capitals
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Pittsburgh Penguins (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 41.74%2.40kurs godziwy
EV -1.50%
Przewaga -0.637%
Kelly -1.10%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.36
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.81%41.75%41.77%43.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.282.292.3645.45%43.84%43.67%42.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Washington Capitals (Goście)
Prognoza 58.26%1.72kurs godziwy
EV -2.70%
Przewaga -1.62%
Kelly -4.03%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.67
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.85%58.25%58.23%59.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.651.651.6761.73%60.61%60.61%59.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
18 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (33 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.50%E -0.637%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.50%E -0.637%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.92%E -0.817%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.92%E -0.817%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.92%E -0.817%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| BetUS | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.34%E -0.999%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| Bovada | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.75%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 19:17 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 19:14 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.03%E -3.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.68%E -2.51%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| Betsson | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.68%E -2.51%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.68%E -2.51%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 19:08 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 19:16 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 19:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 19:07 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Novig | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| ProphetX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 19:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (18)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 19:17 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Betway | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 19:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 19:11 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24% | 16.3% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.63% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.61% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.75% | 17.9% | 2026-04-11 19:20 |