L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Penguins v Florida Panthers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 19:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)

Prévision 67.16%1.49cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.867%
Kelly -2.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.06%67.22%67.13%68.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.421.431.4776.92%70.27%69.93%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Florida Panthers (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.84%3.05cote équitable
EV +0.160%
Avantage +0.053%
Kelly +0.078%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.46%32.78%32.87%34.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.892.903.0537.04%34.55%34.48%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.160%E +0.053%K +0.078%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 12:05
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.160%E +0.053%K +0.078%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 15:00
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.160%E +0.053%K +0.078%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 14:45
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.160%E +0.053%K +0.078%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 14:45
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:04
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:34
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.30%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 00:55
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.62%E -1.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.45%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 19:04
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.62%E -1.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.45%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 19:04
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:04
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -1.27%E -0.867%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 19:05
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 16:14
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 16:15
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 18:45
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 16:15
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 18:09
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 18:53
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 15:54
Everygame1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 12:18
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 15:20
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 07:19
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 18:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 18:34
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 15:14
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 18:35
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 18:48
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 19:04
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.62%E -1.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 18:05
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 16:15
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.71%E -3.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:05
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.71%E -3.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:05
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.66%EV -12.69%E -9.76%K -42.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.34%EV -10.68%E -3.93%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 18:55
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.62%E -1.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.81%3.02I 33.11%NM 33.19%-0.2%2026-04-05 18:54
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-04-05 18:50
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-04-05 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-04-05 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-04-05 19:05
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.34%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.66%1.7%2026-04-05 19:05
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-04-05 19:00
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-04-05 19:05
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-04-05 19:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.24%2.9%2026-04-05 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.24%2.9%2026-04-05 14:45
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.24%2.9%2026-04-05 14:45
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.24%2.9%2026-04-05 14:45
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.53%3.8%2026-04-05 19:05
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.33%4.7%2026-04-05 18:55
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.30%4.8%2026-04-05 18:59
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.19%4.9%2026-04-05 18:55
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%5.2%2026-04-05 14:45
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%5.2%2026-04-05 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%5.2%2026-04-05 14:45
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%5.2%2026-04-05 14:45
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%6.5%2026-04-05 19:04
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%6.6%2026-04-05 18:24
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-04-05 15:00
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%7.5%2026-04-05 14:45
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%7.9%2026-04-05 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%8.8%2026-04-05 19:05
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%8.9%2026-04-05 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%9.2%2026-04-05 19:01
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%12.5%2026-04-05 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%14.0%2026-04-05 19:05