La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Pittsburgh Penguins v Florida Panthers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)
Predicción 67.16%1.49momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.867%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%67.22%67.13%68.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.421.431.4776.92%70.27%69.93%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Florida Panthers (Visitante)
Predicción 32.84%3.05momio equitativo
EV +0.160%
Ventaja +0.053%
Kelly +0.078%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.46%32.78%32.87%34.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.903.0537.04%34.55%34.48%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.160%E +0.053%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 12:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.160%E +0.053%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.160%E +0.053%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.160%E +0.053%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 19:04 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 18:34 |
| Fliff | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.30%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.62%E -1.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.45%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.62%E -1.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -3.45%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 19:04 |
| Caesars | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 19:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -1.27%E -0.867%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 19:05 |
| ReBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 16:14 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 18:09 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 18:53 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:54 |
| Everygame | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 12:18 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 15:20 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 18:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 18:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 18:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 19:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.62%E -1.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 18:05 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.71%E -3.13%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 18:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.71%E -3.13%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.66%EV -12.69%E -9.76%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.34%EV -10.68%E -3.93%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.62%E -1.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.81% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 33.19% | -0.2% | 2026-04-05 18:54 |
| Polymarket | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 19:05 |
| Novig | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.34% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.66% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 19:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 19:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 19:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.17% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.24% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.17% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.24% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.17% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.24% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.17% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.24% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.53% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.33% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.30% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.19% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 18:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 19:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 19:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67% | 14.0% | 2026-04-05 19:05 |