La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Penguins v Dallas Stars

Inizio: 2026-03-28 21:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Casa)

Previsione 46.87%2.13quota equa
EV -1.58%
Vantaggio -0.751%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.60%46.92%46.81%47.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.032.042.1051.28%49.21%49.02%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dallas Stars (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.13%1.88quota equa
EV -2.77%
Vantaggio -1.51%
Kelly -3.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.22%53.08%53.19%54.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.801.801.8357.14%55.51%55.56%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.58%E -0.751%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.96%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:20
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.58%E -0.751%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.96%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 19:20
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.58%E -0.751%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.49%E -3.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 19:20
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 22:05
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 23:05
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 15:45
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:15
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 16:04
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:05
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:05
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 20:20
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:05
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:15
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.96%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 13:55
ReBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 02:20
MyBookie.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 02:25
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:20
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.86%E -2.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:20
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.86%E -2.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:20
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.30%E -1.81%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 15:44
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:50
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:50
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:09
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:20
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 19:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 15:44
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.20%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:50
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.20%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:50
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.61%E -4.41%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-28 02:22
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-27 22:00
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-27 18:50
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-03-28 02:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-03-27 21:25
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-03-28 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-03-28 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-03-28 02:50
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%9.6%2026-03-28 02:20

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.29%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.78%3.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.08%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53%3.7%2026-03-28 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%3.7%2026-03-27 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%3.7%2026-03-27 19:20
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%3.7%2026-03-27 19:20
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%3.7%2026-03-27 19:20
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.91%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-03-28 03:00
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-03-27 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-03-27 19:20
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-03-27 19:20
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-03-27 19:20
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-27 22:59
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%6.2%2026-03-28 01:45
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%7.2%2026-03-27 23:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%7.3%2026-03-27 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%8.9%2026-03-28 02:20
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.02%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%9.0%2026-03-28 03:10
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%9.3%2026-03-28 02:20
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%10.2%2026-03-28 02:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%10.2%2026-03-28 02:20
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.36%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.39%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.25%17.8%2026-03-28 02:20