L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.10
avec la cote maximale 1.83
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.58%E -0.751%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.96%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.58%E -0.751%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.96%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.58%E -0.751%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.49%E -3.69%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 15:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 16:04 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 23:05 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 23:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 20:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.96%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 13:55 |
| ReBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.86%E -2.39%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betsson | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.86%E -2.39%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Bovada | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.30%E -1.81%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 19:50 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.20%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.20%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.61%E -4.41%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-28 02:22 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 18:50 |
| Novig | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.0% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| ProphetX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.0% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73% | 9.6% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.29% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.78% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.08% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.91% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.35% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Betway | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 23:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95% | 8.9% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.02% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83% | 9.0% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77% | 9.3% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87% | 10.2% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87% | 10.2% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.36% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.39% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.25% | 17.8% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |