La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Penguins v Buffalo Sabres

Inizio: 2026-03-06 00:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Casa)

Previsione 49.14%2.04quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -0.865%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.78%49.15%49.10%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.781.941.952.0056.18%51.59%51.28%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Buffalo Sabres (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.86%1.97quota equa
EV -2.34%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -2.54%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%50.85%50.90%52.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.871.871.9257.80%53.55%53.48%52.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.73%E -0.865%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:59
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.22%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.34%E -1.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-06 00:01
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 23:45
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 23:45
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 23:45
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 20:44
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 20:40
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 20:40
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 17:25
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 18:20
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 17:24
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 18:19
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 19:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 12:15
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 04:40
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:30
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 04:40
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:00
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.68%E -2.41%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:00
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.68%E -2.41%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:40
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.68%E -2.41%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:55
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:44
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:00
NordicBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:54
Betsson1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:55
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.66%E -2.95%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.66%E -2.95%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 13:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:00
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:00
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 14:40
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 17:45
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.64%E -3.50%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 23:59
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.54%E -7.04%K -16.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.00%E -6.94%K -16.44%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-03-05 23:59
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-03-06 00:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-03-05 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-03-05 22:15
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-03-06 00:01
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-03-06 00:00
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-03-05 23:45

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-05 20:40
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-05 20:40
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-05 20:40
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-05 21:05
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%4.4%2026-03-06 00:01
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-06 00:00
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-03-05 23:59
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.82%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.02%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16%4.7%2026-03-05 23:59
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-05 20:40
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-05 20:40
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-05 20:40
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-05 20:40
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-03-05 20:40
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-05 20:15
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%7.8%2026-03-06 00:00
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-03-06 00:01
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.89%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%9.1%2026-03-05 20:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-03-06 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%10.8%2026-03-06 00:00
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.94%10.9%2026-03-05 23:45
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.14%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%14.6%2026-03-06 00:00