L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Pittsburgh Penguins v Buffalo Sabres
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)
Prévision 49.14%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.865%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%49.15%49.10%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.941.952.0056.18%51.59%51.28%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Buffalo Sabres (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.86%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.54%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.85%50.90%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.871.871.9257.80%53.55%53.48%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.73%E -0.865%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.22%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.34%E -1.22%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 20:44 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:24 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 18:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 12:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 04:40 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 04:40 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.19%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.68%E -2.41%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.68%E -2.41%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.68%E -2.41%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Betsson | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.66%E -2.95%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.66%E -2.95%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 13:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 14:40 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.64%E -3.50%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.54%E -7.04%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.00%E -6.94%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 23:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| ProphetX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Novig | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.82% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.02% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:59 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 20:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.89% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85% | 10.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.94% | 10.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.14% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29% | 14.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |