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Pittsburgh Penguins v Boston Bruins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)
Prediction 52.65%1.90fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.57%52.65%52.63%53.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.811.801.8856.50%55.23%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Bruins (Visit)
Prediction 47.35%2.11fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.955%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.74%47.35%47.37%48.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.022.002.0750.76%49.53%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Penguins (Local): 52.65%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 47.35%. For Pittsburgh Penguins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.
18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.03%E -0.546%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.87%E -1.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.61%E -1.41%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.71%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 20:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.98%E -0.955%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 20:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.98%E -0.955%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 20:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.19%E -2.30%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.87%E -1.91%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 19:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 19:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 06:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 02:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 16:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.76%E -3.22%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.40%E -1.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 19:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 19:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 20:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 2.6% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.94% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.06% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 20:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.83% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 20:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.44% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.44% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.44% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 20:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.44% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.00% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 20:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.38% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 20:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.37% | 17.6% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |