L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Penguins v Boston Bruins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 20:59 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)

Prévision 52.65%1.90cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.546%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.57%52.65%52.63%53.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.811.801.8856.50%55.23%55.56%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Bruins (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.35%2.11cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.955%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.74%47.35%47.37%48.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.022.002.0750.76%49.53%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

18 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.03%E -0.546%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.87%E -1.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 20:50
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.61%E -1.41%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.71%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 20:43
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.98%E -0.955%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 20:24
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.98%E -0.955%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 20:24
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 14:40
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 10:29
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 20:45
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 20:44
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 20:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 20:44
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.19%E -2.30%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.87%E -1.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 19:44
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 20:45
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 20:44
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 20:45
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:30
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:00
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:29
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 19:50
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:29
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 19:49
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 06:43
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 20:44
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 02:28
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:29
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 16:49
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:23
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 02:29
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.76%E -3.22%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.40%E -1.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 19:58
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 19:55
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 20:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-03-08 20:45
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-03-08 20:45
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-03-08 20:49
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-03-08 20:44
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 51.94%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.06%3.5%2026-03-08 20:45
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%10.0%2026-03-08 20:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%10.0%2026-03-08 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%10.0%2026-03-08 20:44

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (18)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%0.9%2026-03-08 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%3.0%2026-03-08 20:39
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%3.0%2026-03-08 20:40
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%3.0%2026-03-08 20:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.83%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%3.9%2026-03-08 20:39
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.44%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%4.9%2026-03-08 20:45
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.44%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%4.9%2026-03-08 20:45
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.44%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%4.9%2026-03-08 20:39
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.44%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%4.9%2026-03-08 20:45
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%5.9%2026-03-08 20:44
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%6.3%2026-03-08 20:39
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-03-08 20:15
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%7.2%2026-03-08 20:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%8.2%2026-03-08 20:40
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.00%9.6%2026-03-08 20:40
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%9.8%2026-03-08 20:45
Unibet (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.1%2026-03-08 20:24
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.37%17.6%2026-03-08 20:45