Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Philadelphia Flyers v Washington Capitals
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Philadelphia Flyers (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 45.43%2.20kurs godziwy
EV -0.973%
Przewaga -0.447%
Kelly -0.825%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.18
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.96%45.32%45.31%47.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.932.102.102.1851.81%47.55%47.62%45.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Washington Capitals (Goście)
Prognoza 54.57%1.83kurs godziwy
EV -1.77%
Przewaga -0.981%
Kelly -2.21%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.63%54.68%54.69%56.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.611.751.751.8062.11%57.17%57.14%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
22 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.973%E -0.447%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.68%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.88%E -0.871%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-11 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.88%E -0.871%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.95%E -2.24%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.88%E -0.871%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.95%E -2.24%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 22:40 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 23:05 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.68%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.79%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 21:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.70%E -1.74%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.70%E -1.74%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 18:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.70%E -1.74%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| ReBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.95%E -2.24%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:38 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 16:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 16:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 22:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 17:24 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 17:29 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 15:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 15:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 23:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 16:50 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 16:50 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 20:45 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.77%E -0.981%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.52%EV -12.13%E -7.54%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (9)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Polymarket | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| ProphetX | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.1% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (22)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.12% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.87% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.28% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.59% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.98% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.01% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.23% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.27% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.51% | 11.1% | 2026-03-11 23:13 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38% | 11.1% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.80% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79% | 14.0% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |