La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Flyers v Washington Capitals

Inizio: 2026-03-11 23:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Casa)

Previsione 45.43%2.20quota equa
EV -0.973%
Vantaggio -0.447%
Kelly -0.825%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.96%45.32%45.31%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.102.102.1851.81%47.55%47.62%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Capitals (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.57%1.83quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -0.981%
Kelly -2.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.68%54.69%56.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.751.751.8062.11%57.17%57.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.973%E -0.447%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.68%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 23:19
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.88%E -0.871%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-11 21:45
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.88%E -0.871%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.95%E -2.24%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 23:09
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.88%E -0.871%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.95%E -2.24%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 23:09
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 22:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 23:05
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 21:40
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 21:40
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.34%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.68%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 23:09
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.79%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 21:10
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.70%E -1.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 18:55
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.70%E -1.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 18:54
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.70%E -1.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:09
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.95%E -2.24%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 23:14
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 22:38
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:19
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 17:29
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 16:00
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 16:30
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 15:55
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 16:49
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 17:24
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 17:29
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 15:13
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 15:15
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 23:09
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 18:55
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:09
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:14
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:14
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 16:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 23:18
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 16:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 16:50
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.88%E -3.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 20:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.77%E -0.981%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 22:25
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -12.33%E -6.39%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.52%EV -12.13%E -7.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-11 22:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-03-11 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-11 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-11 23:19
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-11 23:14
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-11 23:14
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-11 23:14
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-03-11 23:19
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-03-11 23:19
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%5.2%2026-03-11 23:09

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-11 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-11 18:55
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-11 21:00
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-11 18:50
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 34.12%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.87%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%3.2%2026-03-11 23:09
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%4.5%2026-03-11 23:14
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.28%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.59%4.7%2026-03-11 20:40
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.98%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.01%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%4.7%2026-03-11 23:19
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-11 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-11 18:50
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-11 18:50
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-11 18:55
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-03-11 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-03-11 23:19
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-03-11 23:14
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%7.1%2026-03-11 18:50
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%8.6%2026-03-11 23:14
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-11 23:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%9.2%2026-03-11 23:20
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.23%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.27%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.51%11.1%2026-03-11 23:13
Unibet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-03-11 23:19
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%14.0%2026-03-11 23:14