La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Flyers v Pittsburgh Penguins

Inizio: 2026-04-26 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Casa)

Previsione 52.06%1.92quota equa
EV -0.566%
Vantaggio -0.297%
Kelly -0.622%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.93%52.14%52.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.841.831.9158.48%54.37%54.64%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Penguins (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.94%2.09quota equa
EV -3.16%
Vantaggio -1.56%
Kelly -3.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.62%48.07%47.86%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.821.971.982.0254.95%50.64%50.51%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.566%E -0.297%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.43%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 00:04
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.13%E -1.13%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.16%E -1.56%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 08:29
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.13%E -1.13%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 08:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 03:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 03:59
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:39
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.17%E -1.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -3.16%E -1.56%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 02:59
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.17%E -1.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -3.16%E -1.56%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 02:59
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.17%E -1.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 08:09
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 08:44
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 20:15
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 19:16
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 04:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.21%E -2.29%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:55
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.21%E -2.29%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 03:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 03:29
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 02:20
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 08:29
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 02:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 03:30
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 02:09
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 02:20
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 06:00
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 06:30
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 03:29
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.08%E -2.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:55
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.08%E -2.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:13
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:14
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 02:19
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -5.77%E -3.19%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -8.91%E -4.69%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.08%E -2.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 03:29
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.08%E -2.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 03:29
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.56%EV -10.98%E -6.42%K -15.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.44%EV -12.75%E -7.00%K -15.55%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 20:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-04-23 11:05
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-04-24 03:05
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-23 10:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-23 16:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-23 16:39
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-24 02:25
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-04-24 03:15
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-04-24 03:40

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.24%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.73%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%3.1%2026-04-23 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-04-23 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-04-23 20:14
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-04-23 20:14
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-04-23 20:14
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.78%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-04-23 08:23
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-04-23 02:29
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-04-23 20:15
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-23 12:34
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.55%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%6.2%2026-04-23 20:14
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-04-23 06:05
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-04-23 12:35
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-04-23 12:34
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%7.9%2026-04-23 20:14
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.65%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%8.2%2026-04-23 12:34
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%12.3%2026-04-23 20:14
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.53%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%12.4%2026-04-23 12:34