L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Flyers v Pittsburgh Penguins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prévision 52.06%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.566%
Avantage -0.297%
Kelly -0.622%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.93%52.14%52.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.841.831.9158.48%54.37%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.94%2.09cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.62%48.07%47.86%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.971.982.0254.95%50.64%50.51%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.566%E -0.297%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.43%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 00:04
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.13%E -1.13%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.16%E -1.56%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 08:29
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.13%E -1.13%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 08:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 03:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 03:59
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:39
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.17%E -1.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -3.16%E -1.56%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 02:59
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.17%E -1.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -3.16%E -1.56%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 02:59
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.17%E -1.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 08:09
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 08:44
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 20:15
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 19:16
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 04:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.21%E -2.29%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:55
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.21%E -2.29%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 03:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 03:29
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 02:20
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 08:29
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 02:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 03:30
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 02:09
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 02:20
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 06:00
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 06:30
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 03:29
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.08%E -2.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:55
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.08%E -2.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:13
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:14
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 02:19
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -5.77%E -3.19%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -8.91%E -4.69%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.08%E -2.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 03:29
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.08%E -2.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 03:29
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.56%EV -10.98%E -6.42%K -15.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.44%EV -12.75%E -7.00%K -15.55%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 20:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-04-23 11:05
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-04-24 03:05
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-23 10:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-23 16:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-23 16:39
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-24 02:25
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-04-24 03:15
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-04-24 03:40

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.24%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.73%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%3.1%2026-04-23 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-04-23 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-04-23 20:14
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-04-23 20:14
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-04-23 20:14
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.78%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-04-23 08:23
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-04-23 02:29
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-04-23 20:15
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-23 12:34
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-23 12:35
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.55%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%6.2%2026-04-23 20:14
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-04-23 06:05
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-04-23 12:35
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-04-23 12:34
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%7.9%2026-04-23 20:14
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.65%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%8.2%2026-04-23 12:34
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%12.3%2026-04-23 20:14
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.53%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%12.4%2026-04-23 12:34