預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Philadelphia Flyers v Pittsburgh Penguins

開賽時間: 2026-09-30 23:38 UTC

最終賽果: Philadelphia Flyers 0–7 Pittsburgh Penguins

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

37 家博彩公司 (13 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Philadelphia Flyers (主隊)

預測 56.81%1.76公平賠率
EV -1.16%
優勢 -0.666%
Kelly -1.57%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.74

博彩公司預測分布
55.12%56.63%56.74%57.69%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.581.691.691.7463.29%59.31%59.17%57.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Pittsburgh Penguins (客隊)

預測 43.19%2.32公平賠率
EV -1.52%
優勢 -0.665%
Kelly -1.18%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.28

博彩公司預測分布
42.31%43.37%43.26%44.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.102.202.202.2847.62%45.48%45.45%43.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Philadelphia Flyers (主隊):56.81%;Pittsburgh Penguins (客隊):43.19%。 對於「Philadelphia Flyers (主隊)」,該估計相當於1.76的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為1.74,期望值為-1.16%,未產生正期望值。

有 21 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (37 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.16%E -0.666%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.86%E -1.67%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-30 23:35
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.52%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-30 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-30 21:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-30 21:00
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-30 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 19:59
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-30 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-30 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.858%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-30 23:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.858%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-30 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-30 16:54
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-30 22:15
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-30 22:15
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-30 23:29
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-30 22:05
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-30 22:27
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 16:24
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 20:59
Paddy Power🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 20:05
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-30 18:45
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-30 18:44
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 23:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.40%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 21:03
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.40%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 23:34
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 23:34
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 23:34
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 23:35
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 20:59
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.14%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 18:44
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -5.14%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.40%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 23:34
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -10.25%E -6.49%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-30 23:30
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-30 23:35
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-30 23:05
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-30 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-09-30 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-09-30 23:20
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-30 17:20
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-30 17:05
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-09-30 23:20
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-09-30 23:20

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (21)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.0%2026-09-30 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.0%2026-09-30 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.0%2026-09-30 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.0%2026-09-30 20:00
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.01%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.48%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.51%4.7%2026-09-30 23:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.26%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-09-30 23:28
Coolbet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.09%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-09-30 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.21%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%5.2%2026-09-30 23:30
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%5.3%2026-09-30 18:44
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%5.3%2026-09-30 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%5.3%2026-09-30 18:44
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%5.3%2026-09-30 18:45
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-09-30 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-09-30 22:55
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%7.8%2026-09-30 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%8.8%2026-09-30 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-09-30 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%9.8%2026-09-30 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%12.2%2026-09-30 23:31
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%12.4%2026-09-30 18:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.95%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%14.9%2026-09-30 22:50