语言:简体中文
Philadelphia Flyers v Pittsburgh Penguins
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Philadelphia Flyers (主队)
预测 56.81%1.76公平赔率
EV -1.16%
优势 -0.666%
Kelly -1.57%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.74
博彩公司预测分布
55.12%56.63%56.74%57.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.691.691.7463.29%59.31%59.17%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)
预测 43.19%2.32公平赔率
EV -1.52%
优势 -0.665%
Kelly -1.18%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.28
博彩公司预测分布
42.31%43.37%43.26%44.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.202.202.2847.62%45.48%45.45%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Flyers (主队)：56.81%；Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)：43.19%。 对于“Philadelphia Flyers (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.76。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.74，期望值为-1.16%，未产生正期望值。
有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.16%E -0.666%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-30 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.86%E -1.67%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.52%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-30 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 21:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 23:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 19:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 23:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.858%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.858%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 23:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-30 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-30 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-30 22:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-30 22:27 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-30 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-30 20:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-30 23:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.00%E -2.37%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-30 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 18:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 23:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.40%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 21:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.40%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 23:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 23:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 20:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.14%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 18:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -5.14%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.40%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.81%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -10.25%E -6.49%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-30 23:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (9)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-30 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-30 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-09-30 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-30 17:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-30 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-09-30 23:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18% | 2.9% | 2026-09-30 23:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.0% | 2026-09-30 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.0% | 2026-09-30 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.0% | 2026-09-30 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.0% | 2026-09-30 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.01% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.48% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.51% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.26% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 23:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.09% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.21% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 23:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09% | 7.8% | 2026-09-30 23:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98% | 8.8% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.67% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-09-30 23:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19% | 9.8% | 2026-09-30 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27% | 12.2% | 2026-09-30 23:31 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82% | 12.4% | 2026-09-30 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.95% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.84% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21% | 14.9% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |