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Philadelphia Flyers v Ottawa Senators

2026-10-17 23:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prediction 43.31%2.31fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.53%43.23%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.192.202.2748.31%45.72%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ottawa Senators (Visit)

Prediction 56.69%1.76fair odd
EV -0.231%
Edge -0.131%
Kelly -0.304%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.64%56.47%56.77%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.691.691.7663.29%59.13%59.17%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 43.31%; Ottawa Senators (Visit): 56.69%. For Ottawa Senators (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.764. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.760, with an expected value of -0.231%; they do not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.68%E -0.740%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-16 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.68%E -0.740%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-16 20:04
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-16 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-16 21:24
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-16 17:45
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-16 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 18:59
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 18:58
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 18:59
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 18:58
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.84%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-16 22:15
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.84%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 21:25
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-16 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-16 22:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-16 22:10
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 19:04
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 17:25
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 18:05
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 18:00
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 21:24
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 21:39
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 21:40
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -0.231%E -0.131%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-16 22:10
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -0.231%E -0.131%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-16 22:08
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -0.231%E -0.131%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-16 22:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.93%E -1.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.93%E -1.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 16:40
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.93%E -1.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 16:40
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 18:58
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 19:01
ReBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.41%EV -9.48%E -4.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.59%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-16 22:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.29%EV -10.34%E -5.00%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.71%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-16 22:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-10-16 18:05
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-10-16 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-10-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-10-16 18:40
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-10-16 18:05
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%9.0%2026-10-16 22:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74%2.7%2026-10-16 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74%2.7%2026-10-16 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74%2.7%2026-10-16 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74%2.7%2026-10-16 22:10
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.19%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.08%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.73%3.2%2026-10-16 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.19%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%4.6%2026-10-16 19:04
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.60%4.6%2026-10-16 20:05
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%4.9%2026-10-16 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%4.9%2026-10-16 22:10
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%4.9%2026-10-16 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-10-16 22:09
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%6.5%2026-10-16 22:10
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%6.5%2026-10-16 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%6.5%2026-10-16 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.84%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%7.1%2026-10-16 22:08
picklebet_au🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-10-16 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-10-16 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%10.2%2026-10-16 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.35%15.7%2026-10-16 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.65%1.96I 51.02%NM 43.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.58%16.6%2026-10-16 22:10