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Philadelphia Flyers v Ottawa Senators
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Predicción 43.31%2.31momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.740%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%43.53%43.23%45.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.072.192.202.2748.31%45.72%45.45%44.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ottawa Senators (Visitante)
Predicción 56.69%1.76momio equitativo
EV -0.231%
Ventaja -0.131%
Kelly -0.304%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.64%56.47%56.77%57.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.691.691.7663.29%59.13%59.17%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 43.31%; Ottawa Senators (Visitante): 56.69%. Para Ottawa Senators (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.764. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.760, con un valor esperado de -0.231%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.68%E -0.740%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-16 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.68%E -0.740%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-16 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-16 21:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-16 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-16 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-16 18:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-16 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-16 18:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.84%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-16 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.84%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-16 21:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-16 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-16 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-16 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-16 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 21:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 21:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-16 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-16 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -0.231%E -0.131%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -0.231%E -0.131%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-16 22:08 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -0.231%E -0.131%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.93%E -1.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.93%E -1.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.93%E -1.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 16:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 18:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.04%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 19:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.41%EV -9.48%E -4.53%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.59%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.29%EV -10.34%E -5.00%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.71%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-16 22:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-10-16 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 1.6% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 1.6% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30% | 9.0% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74% | 2.7% | 2026-10-16 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74% | 2.7% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74% | 2.7% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74% | 2.7% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.19% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.08% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.73% | 3.2% | 2026-10-16 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.19% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.6% | 2026-10-16 19:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.60% | 4.6% | 2026-10-16 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83% | 4.9% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83% | 4.9% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83% | 4.9% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-10-16 22:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.84% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 22:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-10-16 22:25 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16% | 9.3% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16% | 9.3% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13% | 10.2% | 2026-10-16 18:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.35% | 15.7% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.65% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 43.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.58% | 16.6% | 2026-10-16 22:10 |