The School of Odds
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Philadelphia Flyers v New York Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prediction 55.81%1.79fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%55.91%55.84%57.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.711.7563.69%58.42%58.31%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 44.19%2.26fair odd
EV -0.138%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.110%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.49%44.09%44.16%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.2650.00%46.36%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 55.81%; New York Rangers (Visit): 44.19%. For New York Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.263. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.260, with an expected value of -0.138%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.67%E -1.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.67%E -1.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.88%E -1.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.91%E -0.858%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.88%E -1.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 15:44
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.88%E -1.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 15:44
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.88%E -1.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 17:04
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.88%E -1.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 15:43
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.44%E -1.99%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.44%E -1.99%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.44%E -1.99%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.44%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 22:50
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.67%E -1.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 22:14
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.12%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:00
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.56%E -2.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.56%E -2.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.44%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 22:54
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.88%E -2.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.88%E -2.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 21:59
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.88%E -2.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 16:39
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 21:59
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 20:34
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.67%E -1.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 21:59
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:49
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:58
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 21:59
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 21:59
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 21:59
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 21:59
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -0.138%E -0.061%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 22:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -11.63%E -5.81%K -11.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-09 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-09 22:59
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-09 15:45
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-09 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-09 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-09 22:50
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-03-09 22:49
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-03-09 18:45
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-09 19:40
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-09 23:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-09 19:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-09 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-09 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-09 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%3.7%2026-03-09 16:50
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.32%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.61%4.6%2026-03-09 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.84%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%4.6%2026-03-09 22:54
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.60%4.6%2026-03-09 22:59
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-09 19:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-09 19:25
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-09 19:25
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-09 19:25
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.1%2026-03-09 22:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%6.5%2026-03-09 22:55
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-09 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-09 16:40
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-09 22:58
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.45%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%9.1%2026-03-09 22:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.56%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%9.3%2026-03-09 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.53%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%11.0%2026-03-09 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.47%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.81%11.1%2026-03-09 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%14.1%2026-03-09 22:30