L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Flyers v New York Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prévision 55.81%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%55.91%55.84%57.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.711.711.7563.69%58.42%58.31%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.19%2.26cote équitable
EV -0.138%
Avantage -0.061%
Kelly -0.110%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.49%44.09%44.16%44.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.152.2650.00%46.36%46.51%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.67%E -1.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.67%E -1.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 17:40
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.88%E -1.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.91%E -0.858%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.88%E -1.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 15:44
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.88%E -1.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 15:44
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.88%E -1.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 17:04
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.88%E -1.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 15:43
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.44%E -1.99%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.44%E -1.99%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 16:45
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.44%E -1.99%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.44%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 22:50
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.67%E -1.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 22:14
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.12%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:00
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.56%E -2.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:59
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.56%E -2.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 23:00
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:25
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.44%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 22:54
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.88%E -2.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 22:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.88%E -2.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 21:59
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.88%E -2.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 16:39
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 21:59
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 20:34
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 23:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.67%E -1.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 21:59
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:49
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 15:45
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 19:45
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 14:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:58
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 21:59
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 21:59
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 21:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 21:59
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -0.138%E -0.061%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 22:29
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:55
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -11.63%E -5.81%K -11.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-09 19:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-09 22:59
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-09 15:45
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-09 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-09 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-09 22:50
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-03-09 22:49
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-03-09 18:45
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-09 19:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-09 23:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-09 19:24
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-09 19:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-09 21:00
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-03-09 19:25
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%3.7%2026-03-09 16:50
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.32%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.61%4.6%2026-03-09 22:54
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.84%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%4.6%2026-03-09 22:54
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.60%4.6%2026-03-09 22:59
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-09 19:24
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-09 19:25
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-09 19:25
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-09 19:25
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.1%2026-03-09 22:54
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%6.5%2026-03-09 22:55
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-09 19:25
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-09 16:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-09 22:58
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 43.45%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%9.1%2026-03-09 22:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.56%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%9.3%2026-03-09 22:49
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.53%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%11.0%2026-03-09 22:49
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.47%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.81%11.1%2026-03-09 22:49
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%14.1%2026-03-09 22:30