The School of Odds
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Philadelphia Flyers v Columbus Blue Jackets

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 23:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prediction 44.34%2.26fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.708%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.31%44.44%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.152.152.2250.76%46.54%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit)

Prediction 55.66%1.80fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.69%55.56%56.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.711.721.7763.29%58.31%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 44.34%; Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit): 55.66%. For Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -1.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.57%E -0.708%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.01%E -0.912%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.01%E -0.912%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 23:35
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 23:35
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 23:35
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Everygame🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.26%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.48%E -0.835%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-14 23:35
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:33
BetAnything🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 23:35
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.26%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:34
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.23%E -1.96%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:28
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 23:35
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.26%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 23:35
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.49%E -3.86%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 23:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.49%E -3.86%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 23:35
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.12%E -2.39%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 23:35
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.00%E -2.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.59%E -1.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.00%E -2.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.59%E -1.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
NordicBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.45%E -3.06%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 23:34
Betsson🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.45%E -3.06%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 23:34
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 23:28
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:34
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 23:35
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 23:35
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 23:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 23:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -12.66%E -6.42%K -13.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.05%E -7.63%K -20.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 23:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-03-14 23:35
ProphetX◎2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%0.6%2026-03-14 23:35
BetOpenly◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-03-14 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-14 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-14 23:35
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-14 23:35
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-14 23:35
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-14 23:33
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-03-14 23:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%4.1%2026-03-14 23:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.90%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.06%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-03-14 23:29
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.59%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57%4.8%2026-03-14 23:29
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.19%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%5.2%2026-03-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-14 23:35
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-14 23:35
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-03-14 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-14 23:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.31%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%9.2%2026-03-14 23:31
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-03-14 23:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%9.6%2026-03-14 23:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%10.3%2026-03-14 23:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%11.2%2026-03-14 23:32