L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Flyers v Columbus Blue Jackets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 23:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prévision 44.34%2.26cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.708%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.22%44.31%44.44%45.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.152.152.2250.76%46.54%46.51%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Columbus Blue Jackets (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.66%1.80cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.835%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%55.69%55.56%56.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.711.721.7763.29%58.31%58.14%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.57%E -0.708%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:34
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.01%E -0.912%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.01%E -0.912%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 23:35
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 23:35
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 23:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Everygame2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.26%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 23:35
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.48%E -0.835%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-14 23:35
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:33
BetAnything2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 23:35
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.26%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:34
ReBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.23%E -1.96%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:28
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 23:35
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 23:35
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.26%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 23:35
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:35
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:34
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.49%E -3.86%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 23:35
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.49%E -3.86%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 23:35
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.12%E -2.39%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 23:35
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.00%E -2.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.59%E -1.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.00%E -2.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.59%E -1.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:35
NordicBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.45%E -3.06%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 23:34
Betsson2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.45%E -3.06%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 23:34
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 23:28
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:34
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 23:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 23:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 23:34
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 23:34
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -12.66%E -6.42%K -13.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.05%E -7.63%K -20.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 23:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-03-14 23:35
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%0.6%2026-03-14 23:35
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-03-14 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-14 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-14 23:35
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-14 23:35
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-14 23:35
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-14 23:33
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-03-14 23:35

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-03-14 23:35
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%4.1%2026-03-14 23:34
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.90%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.06%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-03-14 23:29
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.59%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57%4.8%2026-03-14 23:29
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.19%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%5.2%2026-03-14 23:35
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-03-14 23:35
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-14 23:35
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-03-14 23:35
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-03-14 23:34
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-14 23:35
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.31%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%9.2%2026-03-14 23:31
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-03-14 23:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%9.6%2026-03-14 23:29
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%10.3%2026-03-14 23:33
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%11.2%2026-03-14 23:32