The School of Odds
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Philadelphia Flyers v Chicago Blackhawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 23:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prediction 56.85%1.76fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%56.98%56.78%58.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.671.671.7265.36%59.79%59.70%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Blackhawks (Visit)

Prediction 43.15%2.32fair odd
EV +0.115%
Edge +0.050%
Kelly +0.087%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.41%43.02%43.22%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.222.232.3248.31%44.98%44.84%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 56.85%; Chicago Blackhawks (Visit): 43.15%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.317. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.320, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.115%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +0.115%E +0.050%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +0.115%E +0.050%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:09
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.34%E -4.50%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.748%E -0.325%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:57
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.04%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 23:06
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 23:10
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 23:08
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 23:09
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 22:58
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:08
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:10
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.22%E -1.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.22%E -1.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.36%E -1.98%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 23:06
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.36%E -1.98%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.20%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:06
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.20%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:09
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.63%E -2.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:09
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:06
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.36%E -1.98%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:08
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 23:10
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:04
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:10
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.22%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 23:07
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.22%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.22%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 23:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -13.02%E -8.51%K -24.57%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -10.67%E -5.16%K -9.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-26 23:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%1.8%2026-03-26 23:09
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%2.0%2026-03-26 23:10
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-03-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-03-26 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%3.3%2026-03-26 22:59
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%3.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%4.1%2026-03-26 23:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-26 23:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.19%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%4.4%2026-03-26 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.88%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.08%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-03-26 22:59
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.69%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.70%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%4.7%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%5.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%5.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%5.2%2026-03-26 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%5.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%5.7%2026-03-26 23:08
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-26 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-03-26 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%7.9%2026-03-26 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%8.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-26 22:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.05%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%9.3%2026-03-26 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.61%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%9.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.02%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.91%10.0%2026-03-26 23:07