L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Flyers v Chicago Blackhawks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 23:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prévision 56.85%1.76cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -3.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.14%56.98%56.78%58.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.671.671.7265.36%59.79%59.70%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Blackhawks (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.15%2.32cote équitable
EV +0.115%
Avantage +0.050%
Kelly +0.087%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.41%43.02%43.22%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.222.232.3248.31%44.98%44.84%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +0.115%E +0.050%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +0.115%E +0.050%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:09
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.34%E -4.50%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.748%E -0.325%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:57
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.04%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 23:06
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:10
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 23:10
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 23:08
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 23:09
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 22:58
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:10
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:08
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:10
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:09
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.22%E -1.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.22%E -1.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 23:09
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.36%E -1.98%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 23:06
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.36%E -1.98%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.20%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:06
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.20%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:09
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.63%E -2.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:09
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:06
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.36%E -1.98%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:08
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 23:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:04
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:10
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:10
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.22%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 23:07
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.07%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.22%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 23:09
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.22%E -3.36%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -13.02%E -8.51%K -24.57%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -10.67%E -5.16%K -9.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-26 23:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%1.8%2026-03-26 23:09
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%2.0%2026-03-26 23:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-03-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-03-26 23:10
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%3.3%2026-03-26 22:59
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%3.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%4.1%2026-03-26 23:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-26 23:09
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.19%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%4.4%2026-03-26 23:09
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.88%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.08%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-03-26 22:59
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.69%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.70%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%4.7%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%5.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%5.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%5.2%2026-03-26 23:09
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%5.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%5.7%2026-03-26 23:08
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-26 22:59
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-03-26 23:10
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%7.9%2026-03-26 23:09
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%8.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-26 22:59
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.05%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%9.3%2026-03-26 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.61%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%9.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.02%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.91%10.0%2026-03-26 23:07