The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Ottawa Senators v San Jose Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 21:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ottawa Senators (Local)

Prediction 63.97%1.56fair odd
EV -0.205%
Edge -0.131%
Kelly -0.366%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%63.95%63.83%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.501.501.5673.53%66.71%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 36.03%2.78fair odd
EV -0.921%
Edge -0.335%
Kelly -0.526%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%36.05%36.17%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.632.7540.82%38.03%37.95%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ottawa Senators (Local): 63.97%; San Jose Sharks (Visit): 36.03%. For Ottawa Senators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.563. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.560, with an expected value of -0.205%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -0.205%E -0.131%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-15 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -0.205%E -0.131%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -7.41%E -2.88%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 21:00
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -0.205%E -0.131%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -8.13%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -0.844%E -0.545%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 21:05
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.48%E -0.964%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.97%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.12%E -1.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-15 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.12%E -1.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.13%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.12%E -1.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.73%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.12%E -1.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.73%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 20:40
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 21:00
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 20:59
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.13%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 21:05
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 20:50
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 21:00
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:30
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.88%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 21:05
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 20:25
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 20:50
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -7.05%E -2.73%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 21:05
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -7.05%E -2.73%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.13%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.88%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.24%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.921%E -0.335%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 12:19
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 20:50
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.921%E -0.335%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:40
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.921%E -0.335%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.921%E -0.335%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 21:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.921%E -0.335%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 15:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -13.00%E -9.56%K -36.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 20:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-03-15 20:59
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-03-15 21:05
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-15 21:05
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-03-15 21:05
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-15 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-03-15 20:55
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%3.1%2026-03-15 21:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-15 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-15 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-15 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-15 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%3.8%2026-03-15 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.56%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.42%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.02%4.5%2026-03-15 20:50
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.18%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.60%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.23%4.7%2026-03-15 20:50
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-15 21:05
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%6.5%2026-03-15 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%6.5%2026-03-15 16:40
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%7.3%2026-03-15 21:05
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%7.5%2026-03-15 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%8.5%2026-03-15 21:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%8.6%2026-03-15 20:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%8.9%2026-03-15 20:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%9.0%2026-03-15 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%9.5%2026-03-15 21:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.65%11.3%2026-03-15 20:55