L’École des cotes

Ottawa Senators v San Jose Sharks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 21:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ottawa Senators (Local)

Prévision 63.97%1.56cote équitable
EV -0.205%
Avantage -0.131%
Kelly -0.366%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.56%63.95%63.83%65.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.501.501.5673.53%66.71%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Jose Sharks (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.03%2.78cote équitable
EV -0.921%
Avantage -0.335%
Kelly -0.526%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%36.05%36.17%38.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.632.632.7540.82%38.03%37.95%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -0.205%E -0.131%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-15 21:00
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -0.205%E -0.131%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -7.41%E -2.88%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 21:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -0.205%E -0.131%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -8.13%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 21:00
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -0.844%E -0.545%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 21:05
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.48%E -0.964%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.97%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.12%E -1.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-15 20:55
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.12%E -1.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.13%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.12%E -1.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.73%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.12%E -1.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.73%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 20:40
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 21:00
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 20:59
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.13%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 21:05
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 20:50
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 21:00
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:45
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:30
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.88%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 21:05
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 20:25
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 20:50
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -7.05%E -2.73%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 21:05
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -7.05%E -2.73%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 21:05
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.04%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.13%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 19:45
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 20:50
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.88%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:05
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.24%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.921%E -0.335%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 12:19
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.32%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 20:50
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.921%E -0.335%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:40
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.96%E -4.06%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.921%E -0.335%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:40
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.921%E -0.335%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 20:50
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 21:00
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.921%E -0.335%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -13.00%E -9.56%K -36.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 20:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-03-15 20:59
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-03-15 21:05
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-15 21:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-03-15 21:05
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-15 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-03-15 20:55
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%3.1%2026-03-15 21:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-15 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-15 16:40
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-15 21:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-03-15 16:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%3.8%2026-03-15 21:05
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.56%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.42%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.02%4.5%2026-03-15 20:50
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.18%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.60%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.23%4.7%2026-03-15 20:50
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-15 21:05
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%6.5%2026-03-15 20:55
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%6.5%2026-03-15 16:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%7.3%2026-03-15 21:05
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%7.5%2026-03-15 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%8.5%2026-03-15 21:05
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%8.6%2026-03-15 20:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%8.9%2026-03-15 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%9.0%2026-03-15 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%9.5%2026-03-15 21:03
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.65%11.3%2026-03-15 20:55