The School of Odds
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New York Islanders v Dallas Stars

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 23:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Islanders (Local)

Prediction 47.70%2.10fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +2.22%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%47.51%47.78%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.022.002.1554.05%49.60%49.88%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Stars (Visit)

Prediction 52.30%1.91fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.49%52.22%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.801.8959.52%55.38%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Islanders (Local): 47.70%; Dallas Stars (Visit): 52.30%. For New York Islanders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.55%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +2.55%E +1.19%K +2.22%G +0.057%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -11.09%E -6.52%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:09
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.165%E +0.079%K +0.150%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.165%E +0.079%K +0.150%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:09
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +0.165%E +0.079%K +0.150%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -11.09%E -6.52%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 23:09
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.789%E -0.379%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 22:56
NordicBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.846%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:10
Betsson🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.846%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:10
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 23:10
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 22:59
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:10
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.17%E -1.56%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -1.15%E -0.608%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-26 23:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:06
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:06
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 23:08
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:10
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.04%E -3.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.76%E -2.05%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:10
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:08
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:06
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 23:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.76%E -6.36%K -13.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.13%E -7.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-26 23:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-26 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-03-26 23:10
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-03-26 23:09
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-03-26 22:59
ProphetX◎2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%3.0%2026-03-26 23:10
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-03-26 23:10
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%9.0%2026-03-26 23:10
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%9.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%9.2%2026-03-26 23:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-26 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-26 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-26 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-26 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%4.0%2026-03-26 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.50%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%4.6%2026-03-26 22:59
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.93%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.70%4.6%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%6.2%2026-03-26 23:08
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-03-26 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-03-26 23:09
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-03-26 23:09
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%7.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-26 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-03-26 23:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-03-26 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.56%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.59%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%10.3%2026-03-26 23:07