L’École des cotes

New York Islanders v Dallas Stars

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 23:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Islanders (Local)

Prévision 47.70%2.10cote équitable
EV +2.55%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +2.22%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.16%47.51%47.78%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.022.002.1554.05%49.60%49.88%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dallas Stars (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.30%1.91cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.608%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%52.49%52.22%55.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.811.801.8959.52%55.38%55.56%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +2.55%E +1.19%K +2.22%G +0.057%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -11.09%E -6.52%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:09
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.165%E +0.079%K +0.150%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.165%E +0.079%K +0.150%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:09
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +0.165%E +0.079%K +0.150%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -11.09%E -6.52%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 23:09
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.789%E -0.379%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 22:56
NordicBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.846%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:10
Betsson2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.846%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:10
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 23:10
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 22:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.17%E -1.56%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -1.15%E -0.608%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-26 23:06
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 23:09
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 23:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:06
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:06
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 23:08
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.60%E -2.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 23:09
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:10
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:10
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.04%E -3.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.76%E -2.05%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:10
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:08
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:06
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 23:09
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.76%E -6.36%K -13.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.13%E -7.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-26 23:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-26 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-03-26 23:10
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-03-26 23:09
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-03-26 22:59
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%3.0%2026-03-26 23:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-03-26 23:10
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%9.0%2026-03-26 23:10
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%9.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%9.2%2026-03-26 23:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-26 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-26 23:09
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-26 23:10
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%2.8%2026-03-26 23:10
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%4.0%2026-03-26 23:09
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.50%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%4.6%2026-03-26 22:59
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.93%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.70%4.6%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%6.2%2026-03-26 23:08
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-03-26 23:10
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-03-26 23:09
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-03-26 23:09
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%7.3%2026-03-26 23:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-26 22:59
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-03-26 23:09
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-03-26 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.56%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.59%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%10.3%2026-03-26 23:07