Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Islanders v Chicago Blackhawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Islanders (Local)

Prediction 60.08%1.66fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.17%60.15%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.591.601.6268.97%62.89%62.70%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Blackhawks (Visit)

Prediction 39.92%2.50fair odd
EV +1.80%
Edge +0.706%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.83%39.85%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.402.402.5545.05%41.72%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Islanders (Local): 60.08%; Chicago Blackhawks (Visit): 39.92%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.80%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.80%E +0.706%K +1.16%G +0.021%4.2%2026-03-24 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.80%E +0.706%K +1.16%G +0.021%4.2%2026-03-24 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.80%E +0.706%K +1.16%G +0.021%4.6%2026-03-24 22:57
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-24 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 23:00
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.28%E -4.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 22:59
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.59%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-24 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.99%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.99%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 23:00
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-24 23:00
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.79%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.79%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-24 23:00
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-24 23:00
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 22:59
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 22:59
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 22:59
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 22:59
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.59%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:00
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 23:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.79%E -2.45%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 22:59
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 22:59
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 22:59
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 22:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.49%EV -12.89%E -8.89%K -28.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.51%EV -11.37%E -5.12%K -9.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-24 22:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 60.34%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.66%0.4%2026-03-24 22:59
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-03-24 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-24 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-24 23:00
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-24 23:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-24 23:00
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-24 23:00
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-03-24 22:59
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-03-24 22:59

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%3.3%2026-03-24 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%3.3%2026-03-24 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%3.3%2026-03-24 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%3.3%2026-03-24 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%4.1%2026-03-24 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-24 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.6%2026-03-24 22:59
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.73%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%4.7%2026-03-24 22:59
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.17%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%5.1%2026-03-24 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-24 22:59
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-24 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-24 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%6.6%2026-03-24 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-03-24 22:59
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%7.5%2026-03-24 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%7.6%2026-03-24 22:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-24 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%8.8%2026-03-24 22:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%9.0%2026-03-24 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%9.2%2026-03-24 22:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.15%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.22%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.63%11.0%2026-03-24 22:48