L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.62
avec la cote maximale 2.55
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.80%E +0.706%K +1.16%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.80%E +0.706%K +1.16%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.80%E +0.706%K +1.16%G +0.021% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 22:57 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.28%E -4.02%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.59%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.99%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.99%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.79%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.79%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.59%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.79%E -2.45%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.49%EV -12.89%E -8.89%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.51%EV -11.37%E -5.12%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-24 22:58 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.34% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.66% | 0.4% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| BetOpenly | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 2.4% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.73% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.17% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56% | 6.6% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25% | 7.5% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 22:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.15% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.22% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.63% | 11.0% | 2026-03-24 22:48 |