Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.63
assuming max odds 2.58
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Islanders (Local): 61.48%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 38.52%. For New York Islanders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.626. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.630, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.219%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.219%E +0.134%K +0.347%G +0.001% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.26%E -4.40%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.219%E +0.134%K +0.347%G +0.001% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.26%E -4.40%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -0.396%E -0.244%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -10.26%E -4.40%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.01%E -0.628%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.63%E -1.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -3.32%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 22:56 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -8.72%E -3.68%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -7.95%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -7.95%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.78%E -0.700%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.629%E -0.244%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.629%E -0.244%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.25%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.25%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.78%E -0.700%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.17%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.629%E -0.244%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.78%E -0.700%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.14%EV -12.08%E -8.45%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.86%EV -13.34%E -5.93%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.89% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.11% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 20:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 22:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.48% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.59% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.44% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 23:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.05% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.96% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.32% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.16% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52% | 12.4% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |