L’École des cotes

New York Islanders v Carolina Hurricanes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 23:10 UTC

Score final : New York Islanders 1–2 Carolina Hurricanes

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Islanders (Local)

Prévision 61.48%1.63cote équitable
EV +0.219%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.347%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.84%61.38%61.43%62.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.561.561.6369.93%63.98%64.10%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.52%2.60cote équitable
EV -0.629%
Avantage -0.244%
Kelly -0.398%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.23%38.62%38.57%41.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.462.462.5844.44%40.71%40.65%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.219%E +0.134%K +0.347%G +0.001%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.26%E -4.40%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.219%E +0.134%K +0.347%G +0.001%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.26%E -4.40%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 18:29
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -0.396%E -0.244%K -0.639%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -10.26%E -4.40%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 18:30
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.01%E -0.628%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 22:59
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.63%E -1.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 23:00
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -3.32%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-14 23:00
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-14 23:00
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 22:56
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -8.72%E -3.68%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 22:59
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -7.95%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:00
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -7.95%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:00
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 23:05
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.78%E -0.700%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-14 23:04
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 22:59
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.629%E -0.244%K -0.398%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-14 22:45
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.629%E -0.244%K -0.398%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-14 22:45
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:40
Paddy Power1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:55
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.25%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 22:55
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 23:05
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.25%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 22:55
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:55
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:54
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.78%E -0.700%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:40
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.17%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 22:39
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.629%E -0.244%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:40
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.78%E -0.700%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 23:04
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:40
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 22:39
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.14%EV -12.08%E -8.45%K -28.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.86%EV -13.34%E -5.93%K -10.67%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-14 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-04-14 22:59
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-14 22:55
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-04-14 23:05
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-04-14 23:05
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%2.5%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%6.4%2026-04-14 23:05
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%9.0%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.89%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.11%10.2%2026-04-14 23:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-04-14 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-04-14 18:30
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-04-14 20:00
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.5%2026-04-14 22:44
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-04-14 22:59
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.48%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.59%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%4.8%2026-04-14 22:59
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-04-14 22:39
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%6.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%6.9%2026-04-14 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%7.9%2026-04-14 22:59
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.44%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%8.7%2026-04-14 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%8.8%2026-04-14 23:01
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%9.0%2026-04-14 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%9.8%2026-04-14 23:04
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.32%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.16%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%12.4%2026-04-14 18:30