The School of Odds
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Nashville Predators v Vegas Golden Knights

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 18:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville Predators (Local)

Prediction 41.72%2.40fair odd
EV +0.136%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.097%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%41.71%41.77%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.4047.62%44.17%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)

Prediction 58.28%1.72fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.895%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%58.29%58.23%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.651.671.6965.79%60.53%60.06%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville Predators (Local): 41.72%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 58.28%. For Nashville Predators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.397. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.136%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.136%E +0.056%K +0.097%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 17:53
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.12%E -0.471%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-21 18:05
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.95%E -0.830%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.95%E -0.830%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:04
Bovada🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.79%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 17:50
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:59
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 18:00
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 17:39
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 18:04
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 17:44
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 17:39
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:03
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.87%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.51%E -0.895%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 17:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.87%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.51%E -0.895%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 17:45
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.87%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:00
ReBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -5.71%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 17:54
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.71%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 18:00
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.51%E -0.895%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 17:44
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:04
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:44
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:49
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:55
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:50
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:50
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:59
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 17:44
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 17:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 17:44
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:40
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.38%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -11.42%E -7.51%K -21.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-21 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95%0.3%2026-03-21 18:05
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-21 17:50
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-03-21 17:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-03-21 17:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-03-21 18:05
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-03-21 18:04
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-03-21 18:04
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-03-21 18:04
BetOpenly◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.85%3.5%2026-03-21 17:44

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-03-21 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-03-21 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-03-21 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-03-21 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%4.2%2026-03-21 17:54
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%4.7%2026-03-21 17:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.28%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-03-21 17:54
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-03-21 17:54
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-21 17:44
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-21 17:45
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-21 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-03-21 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.3%2026-03-21 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-03-21 18:00
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-03-21 17:45
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%8.6%2026-03-21 17:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%9.0%2026-03-21 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%9.3%2026-03-21 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%9.6%2026-03-21 18:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.55%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.49%9.8%2026-03-21 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.03%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%10.7%2026-03-21 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%13.8%2026-03-21 18:00