L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.40
avec la cote maximale 1.69
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.136%E +0.056%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 17:53 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.12%E -0.471%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.26%E -1.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.95%E -0.830%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.95%E -0.830%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| Bovada | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.79%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:03 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.87%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.51%E -0.895%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.87%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.51%E -0.895%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.87%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| ReBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -5.71%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.71%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.51%E -0.895%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.76%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:59 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Bally Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 17:40 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.68%E -1.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.38%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -11.42%E -7.51%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 17:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 17:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 18:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| BetOpenly | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.85% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| 1xBet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.28% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.50% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 17:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 18:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.55% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.49% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.03% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.39% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44% | 13.8% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |