Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.32
assuming max odds 1.71
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville Predators (Local): 42.78%; Minnesota Wild (Visit): 57.22%. For Nashville Predators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.32, with an expected value of -0.755%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.755%E -0.325%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-01 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.61%E -0.700%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.61%E -0.700%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 23:28 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.61%E -0.700%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.61%E -0.700%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 21:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.61%E -0.700%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.30%E -4.51%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.04%E -0.890%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-01 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.30%E -1.95%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.30%E -1.95%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.30%E -1.95%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 03:47 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.18%E -1.86%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.30%E -1.95%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.18%E -1.86%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.18%E -1.86%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.60%E -2.06%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.60%E -2.06%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.60%E -2.06%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.03%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.03%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.03%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.46%E -2.47%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.46%E -2.47%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.16%E -6.47%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.91% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.09% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-10-01 09:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.12% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91% | 2.0% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.04% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.97% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.64% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 00:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.24% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65% | 12.8% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09% | 14.0% | 2026-10-01 23:59 |